NFL TOTALS INTELLIGENCEOver / Under
Game Board
Market-aware full-game projections, ranked evidence, and immutable kickoff-relative tracking.
SLATEREG · WEEK 1
GAMES10
OFFICIAL0
Official means the side, line, price, book, projection, ranking, version, inputs, and decision time were frozen before kickoff. No game is forced through release gates.
Qualified Model Trades
THREE HIGHEST-RANKED RESEARCH PREVIEWS · RANKING SCORE IS NOT WIN PROBABILITY
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #1OPEN
STATE TRACKEDEVIDENCE 5/7MODEL NFL_BASELINE_1.0
PITPittsburgh SteelersAWAY
VSNYJNew York JetsHOME
O/U LINEUNDER 41.5Demo Sportsbook · -115
RANK SCORE75.1
POINT EDGE-5.9
DATA5/7
MODEL TOTAL35.6
OVER 26.1%UNDER 73.9%PUSH 0.0%UNCALIBRATED
Sun · Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET—
MODEL BREAKDOWNOFFENSE 36.63DEFENSE 1.91PACE 9.9EXPLOSIVE -0.3RED ZONE -0.2AVAILABILITY -0.4
Possession-based baseline 36.6; explosive -0.3, red zone -0.2, availability -0.4, rest/travel +0.0, weather -0.1.
TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL: research preview only: stale_odds, stale_weather
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #2OPEN
STATE TRACKEDEVIDENCE 6/7MODEL NFL_BASELINE_1.0
TBTampa Bay BuccaneersAWAY
VSATLAtlanta FalconsHOME
O/U LINEOVER 46.0Demo Sportsbook · -110
RANK SCORE62.5
POINT EDGE+3.0
DATA6/7
MODEL TOTAL49.0
OVER 59.8%UNDER 36.4%PUSH 3.8%UNCALIBRATED
Sun · Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET—
MODEL BREAKDOWNOFFENSE 47.52DEFENSE 2.20PACE 10.8EXPLOSIVE +0.9RED ZONE +0.5AVAILABILITY +0.0
Possession-based baseline 47.5; explosive +0.9, red zone +0.5, availability +0.0, rest/travel +0.0, weather +0.0.
TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL: research preview only: stale_odds
CURRENT CANDIDATE · #3OPEN
STATE TRACKEDEVIDENCE 5/7MODEL NFL_BASELINE_1.0
KCKansas City ChiefsAWAY
VSLACLos Angeles ChargersHOME
O/U LINEUNDER 49.0Demo Sportsbook · -110
RANK SCORE58.5
POINT EDGE-3.5
DATA5/7
MODEL TOTAL45.5
OVER 35.6%UNDER 60.9%PUSH 3.5%UNCALIBRATED
Fri · Sep 11 · 8:00 PM ET—
MODEL BREAKDOWNOFFENSE 45.84DEFENSE 2.04PACE 10.6EXPLOSIVE +0.6RED ZONE +0.3AVAILABILITY -0.3
Possession-based baseline 45.8; explosive +0.6, red zone +0.3, availability -0.3, rest/travel -0.7, weather -0.2.
TRACKED — NOT OFFICIAL: research preview only: stale_odds, stale_weather
Full Matchup Board
Every game in the selected season week · click metric headers to sort
| KICKOFF | MATCHUP | PICK | BOOK | MODEL | EDGE | RANK SCORE | DATA | STATE |
|---|
| Sun · Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET— | PIT @ NYJMetLife Stadium | UNDER-115 | 41.5 | 35.6 | -5.9 | 75.1 | 5/7 | TRACKED |
| Sun · Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET— | TB @ ATLMercedes-Benz Stadium | OVER-110 | 46.0 | 49.0 | +3.0 | 62.5 | 6/7 | TRACKED |
| Fri · Sep 11 · 8:00 PM ET— | KC @ LACArena Corinthians · São Paulo | UNDER-110 | 49.0 | 45.5 | -3.5 | 58.5 | 5/7 | TRACKED |
| Mon · Sep 14 · 11:00 PM ET— | DEN @ SEALumen Field | UNDER-112 | 42.5 | 40.9 | -1.6 | 52.8 | 6/7 | TRACKED |
| Sun · Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET— | CIN @ CLEHuntington Bank Field | UNDER-108 | 43.5 | 42.1 | -1.4 | 44.8 | 5/7 | TRACKED |
| Sun · Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET— | MIA @ INDLucas Oil Stadium | OVER-115 | 48.5 | 48.9 | +0.4 | 44.0 | 6/7 | TRACKED |
| Mon · Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET— | MIN @ CHISoldier Field | UNDER-110 | 44.0 | 42.8 | -1.2 | 43.3 | 5/7 | TRACKED |
| Thu · Sep 10 · 8:20 PM ET— | DAL @ PHILincoln Financial Field | UNDER-112 | 47.5 | 46.4 | -1.1 | 42.2 | 5/7 | TRACKED |
| Sun · Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET— | BUF @ BALM&T Bank Stadium | UNDER-115 | 51.5 | 51.0 | -0.5 | 37.8 | 5/7 | TRACKED |
| Sun · Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET— | DET @ GBLambeau Field | OVER-110 | 50.5 | 50.6 | +0.1 | 35.5 | 5/7 | TRACKED |